Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] wins the USA vs Paraguay professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Every market on this event is off the board on Kalshi, with no outcome recorded yet. Prices below are the last traded values, not live odds.
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-12
The USA won 4-1 against Paraguay in their 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D opener at Los Angeles Stadium on June 12. Folarin Balogun scored twice in the first half and Giovanni Reyna added a late goal as the United States dominated with a clinical display of attacking soccer, laying down an early statement of intent under coach Mauricio Pochettino.
Before USA vs Paraguay ended, the final Kalshi odds were: USA: 97%, Tie: 2%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.