Updated 2 months ago
If [outcome] wins the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Spainon Jun 27, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-06-27
Spain defeated Uruguay 1-0 in their 2026 World Cup Group H match on June 26, with Alex Baena's 42nd-minute goal from a goalkeeper error by Fernando Muslera proving decisive. The victory secured top spot in the group for Spain and eliminated two-time champion Uruguay, who finished with no wins in three group matches.
Before Uruguay vs Spain resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Spain: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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