Updated 22m ago
Leading
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 17, 2026
Polymarket gives Peggy Flanagan a 92% chance to win Minnesota's Senate seat, significantly more bullish than polling aggregates (81.1%) but reflecting Minnesota's structural Democratic lean—Republicans have not won a statewide race since 2006. Flanagan, the progressive lieutenant governor, maintains a 5.5-point polling lead over former broadcaster Michele Tafoya, with early dynamics favoring the incumbent party despite the open seat.
As of October 14, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Minnesota Senate Election Winner are: Peggy Flanagan (D): 88%, Michele Tafoya (R): 13%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Minnesota Senate Election Winner is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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