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As of March 18, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter? are: 14.2-14.4m sq km: 48%, <14m sq km: 8%, 14-14.2m sq km: 4%, 15m+ sq km: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Max Arctic sea ice extent this winter? is currently available on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.