Updated 2 months ago
If Tie wins the Egypt vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Tieon Jun 27, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-27
Egypt and Iran finished 1-1 on June 27, 2026, in their Group G World Cup final match at Seattle Stadium. Egypt scored first through Mahmoud Saber in the 5th minute, with Iran equalizing via Ramin Rezaeian in the 14th minute. Iran thought they had won with a stoppage-time goal from Sadegh Khalilzadeh but it was ruled out for offside, giving Egypt advancement to the knockout round while Iran awaited their fate as a potential third-place qualifier.
Before Egypt vs IR Iran resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Tie: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.