Updated 2 months ago
If Tie wins the Ecuador vs Germany professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Ecuadoron Jun 25, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-25
Ecuador defeated Germany 2-1 in their FIFA World Cup 2026 Group E final match on June 25, 2026, securing their spot in the knockout round. After falling behind to Leroy Sané's second-minute goal, Ecuador staged a dramatic comeback with Nilson Angulo equalizing and Gonzalo Plata scoring the decisive goal in the 77th minute. It was Ecuador's first win over a UEFA opponent since 2013 and their first World Cup knockout qualification since 2006.
Before Ecuador vs Germany resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Ecuador: 99%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
