What are the current odds for "Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 17.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $86.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 17.5% or No shares at 82.5%. The market has $12.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Updated Today

Zhang Youxia, a senior member of China's Communist Party leadership, has faced increasing scrutiny amid factional tensions. Markets give only an 18% chance the high-ranking official will be sentenced to prison before 2027, reflecting the typically opaque nature of Chinese elite politics.

Current Probability

17.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.71 return per $1

If No wins

$1.21 return per $1