What are the current odds for "Will Venezuela become 51st state?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.4% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $0 in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Venezuela become 51st state?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.4% or No shares at 96.6%. The market has $52.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Updated Today

Venezuela's geopolitical status has been contested for years amid humanitarian crisis and sanctions. Markets price a 3% chance of Venezuela becoming the 51st U.S. state by year-end 2026, reflecting both the extreme political and logistical barriers and current tensions between Washington and Caracas.

Current Probability

3.4%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$29.41 return per $1

If No wins

$1.04 return per $1