What are the current odds for "Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.6% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $243.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.6% or No shares at 96.4%. The market has $21.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Updated Today

Vice President Tim Walz remains in office with no credible reports suggesting imminent resignation. Markets assign only a 3% probability he steps down by June 30, 2026, consistent with the high bar for sitting VPs to exit mid-term.

Current Probability

3.6%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$27.40 return per $1

If No wins

$1.04 return per $1