What are the current odds for "Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 22.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $116.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 22.0% or No shares at 78.0%. The market has $25.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Updated Today

Measles outbreaks remain a public health concern despite vaccines, with markets giving a 22% probability the U.S. sees at least 7,500 cases in 2026. This threshold would signal either a significant vaccination gap or increased disease circulation.

Current Probability

22.0%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.55 return per $1

If No wins

$1.28 return per $1