
Updated Today
Designating Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a terrorist organization would represent a major escalation in UK-Iran relations with significant diplomatic consequences. Currently priced at 23% probability by June 30, 2026, this reflects ongoing geopolitical tensions and the UK's cautious approach to such designations.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$2.60 return per $1
If No wins
$1.63 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
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