Updated Today
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1? is currently trading at 3.2% on Polymarket, with $17,352 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$31.25 return per $1
If No wins
$1.03 return per $1
Price Changes
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?
PM·$678.3K volCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
PM·$344.1K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?
PM·$297.5K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
PM·$302.3K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
PM·$318.5K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11AM ET
PM·$268.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET
PM·$249.0K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10AM ET
PM·$242.9K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9AM ET
PM·$237.2K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 20?
PM·$219.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9AM ET
PM·$216.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET
PM·$213.3K vol
US Govt Shutdown >=90 Days in 2026
Outcome: At least 90 days
