What are the current odds for "Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 9.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $20.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 9.5% or No shares at 90.5%. The market has $19.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 7 months (Oct 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketeconomics

Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

Updated Today

Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? is currently trading at 9.5% on Polymarket, with $20,196 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

9.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$10.53 return per $1

If No wins

$1.10 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Will Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?

Outcome: Kevin Warsh

84.0%

$8.4K vol

++0.03% 24h

Related Markets

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?

Outcome: Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

76.0%

$6.1K vol

++0.01% 24h

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?

Outcome: Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%

10.0%

$5.4K vol

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Confirmation

Outcome: Kevin Warsh

94.3%

$2.01M vol

Kevin Warsh Confirmed as Fed Chair by May

18.0%

$263.4K vol

-0.02% 24h

Kevin Warsh Confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15

62.0%

$119.9K vol

-0.01% 24h

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$19.6K

24h Volume$2.3K

Total Volume$20.2K

Liquidity$19.6K

Ends7 months

End DateOct 31, 2026

Price Changes

Trade Now

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