Updated Today
Kevin Warsh's confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair by May 15, 2026, currently carries 63% odds in prediction markets—a genuine toss-up reflecting uncertainty over his nomination timeline and Senate confirmation prospects. The Fed chair role is one of the most powerful economic positions in the U.S., making this outcome highly consequential.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.61 return per $1
If No wins
$2.63 return per $1
Price Changes
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
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KalshiWill Kevin Warsh be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
Outcome: Kevin Warsh
KalshiWill Judy Shelton be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
Outcome: Judy Shelton
KalshiWill Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
Outcome: Jerome Powell
