What are the current odds for "Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.4% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $216.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.4% or No shares at 98.6%. The market has $6.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketeconomics

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Updated Today

SoFi Technologies has positioned itself as a fintech disruptor, but inclusion in the S&P 500 requires meeting strict market-cap and liquidity thresholds. Markets currently give SoFi a 2% chance of joining the index by March 31, 2026, suggesting Wall Street views this timeline as unrealistic.

Current Probability

1.4%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$71.43 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1