What are the current odds for "Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 22.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $85.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 22.0% or No shares at 78.0%. The market has $6.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (Apr 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?

Updated Today

Russia's military advances in Ukraine remain a key bellwether of the war's trajectory heading into spring 2026. Markets give a 22% chance Russian forces capture the contested town of Mykhailivka by April 30, reflecting both Ukrainian defensive resistance and the slow pace of recent territorial shifts in the conflict.

Current Probability

22.0%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.55 return per $1

If No wins

$1.28 return per $1