What are the current odds for "Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 27.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $127.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 27.0% or No shares at 73.0%. The market has $10.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,371

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,586,740,888

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$475,966,484

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,691,719,004

Polymarket$2.32BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$350.67MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.48MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,371

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,586,740,888

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$475,966,484

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,691,719,004

Polymarket$2.32BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$350.67MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.48MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketeconomics

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?

Updated Today

Russia's advance toward the Ukrainian city of Huliaipole remains contested as fighting continues in the Donetsk region. Markets currently give Russia a 31% chance of capturing the entire town by March 31, 2026, reflecting uncertainty about both military momentum and the pace of ground operations in this heavily contested area.

Current Probability

27.0%-0.06%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.70 return per $1

If No wins

$1.37 return per $1