What are the current odds for "Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 18.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $15.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 18.0% or No shares at 82.0%. The market has $911 in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?

Updated 2 months ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Currently 18.0% on Polymarket, with $15,259 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

18.0%-0.49%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.56 return per $1

If No wins

$1.22 return per $1

↓ Compare across platforms Trending markets →

Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.

View full rules

Listed on Polymarket Jan 4, 2026 · Resolves Dec 31, 2026