Question 1

What are the current odds for "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 31.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $24.6K in total volume.

Question 2

Where can I trade on "Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 31.5% or No shares at 68.5%. The market has $2.5K in liquidity.

Question 3

When does this prediction market close?

Accepted Answer

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

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