
Updated Today
MrBeast's subscriber growth faces a crucial test by spring 2026. The YouTube megacreator gets an 18% chance of reaching 475 million followers by March 31, 2026, suggesting markets expect steady but slower growth than the explosive trajectories that built his platform dominance.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$13.33 return per $1
If No wins
$1.08 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Spurs vs. Clippers
Lakers vs. Heat
Clippers vs. Pelicans
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Warriors vs. Celtics
Magic vs. Hawks
Suns vs. Timberwolves
Will MrBeast hit 477 Million subscribers by March 31?
Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?
Will MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?
Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
Netanyahu Out by Mar 2027