What are the current odds for "Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 53.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $83.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 53.0% or No shares at 47.0%. The market has $3.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (May 4, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?

Updated Today

Lady Gaga's attendance at the May 4, 2026 Met Gala—fashion's biggest night—currently sits at 58%, reflecting uncertainty around her touring schedule and health. Her absence would be notable after she's attended most major years, though A-list attendance is never guaranteed.

Current Probability

53.0%-0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.89 return per $1

If No wins

$2.13 return per $1