What are the current odds for "Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 37.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $77.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 37.5% or No shares at 62.5%. The market has $1.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 4 months (Jul 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Updated Today

Jack Thorne, a prominent Canadian mathematician, holds a 44% chance of winning the prestigious 2026 Fields Medal—mathematics' highest honor, awarded biennially on August 5, 2026. His work in geometric analysis has made him a serious contender among a small group of elite mathematicians.

Current Probability

37.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.67 return per $1

If No wins

$1.60 return per $1