What are the current odds for "Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 98.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $50.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 98.5% or No shares at 1.5%. The market has $9.4K in liquidity.

Polymarkettech

Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?

Updated Ended

Markets give 99% odds that Iran will strike the Ruwais Refinery by March 31, suggesting high conviction about this specific military action occurring. The refinery's strategic importance in regional tensions makes this outcome closely watched by energy and geopolitical analysts.

Current Probability

98.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.02 return per $1

If No wins

$66.67 return per $1