What are the current odds for "Will GTA 6 cost $100+?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.8% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $351.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will GTA 6 cost $100+?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.8% or No shares at 97.3%. The market has $30.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 7 months (Feb 28, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Updated 59 min ago

Grand Theft Auto VI's standard edition launch price will determine this market: it resolves "Yes" if the game costs $100 or more at launch on Xbox or PlayStation. Currently at 3% probability, resolution depends on the official pre-tax USD price as of the U.S. release date by February 28, 2027.

Current Probability

2.8%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$36.36 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States.

If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price.

This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc.

If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History