Updated Today
Apple's iPhone 18 launch in 2026 is priced at 89% likelihood by year-end, reflecting the company's predictable annual release cycle and strong demand—though supply chain disruptions or product delays remain realistic risks.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.14 return per $1
If No wins
$8.33 return per $1
Price Changes
Lakers vs. Rockets
PM·$4.65M volTrail Blazers vs. Nets
PM·$2.20M volTrail Blazers vs. Pacers
PM·$1.70M volSpread: Rockets (-1.5)
PM·$938.2K volSpread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)
PM·$912.5K volSpread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
PM·$715.4K volSpread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
PM·$679.0K volWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PM·$12.33M volChelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
PM·$474.0K volSpread: Rockets (-2.5)
PM·$457.8K volSpread: Rockets (-3.5)
PM·$431.3K volSpread: Rockets (-2.5)
PM·$367.2K vol
KalshiApple iPhone 18 Release 2027
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWill Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before October
KalshiWill Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before April
KalshiWill Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jul 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before July
KalshiWill Apple release a Mac with cellular connectivity before 2027?
Outcome: Before 2027
