What are the current odds for "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 91.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $225.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 91.0% or No shares at 9.0%. The market has $30.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Updated 2 days ago

Markets give Apple an 81% chance of releasing a foldable iPhone available for public purchase by December 31, 2026.

Current Probability

91.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.10 return per $1

If No wins

$11.11 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.