What are the current odds for "Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 56.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $11.6K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Feb 28, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettechclosed

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Q: Where can I trade on "Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 56.0% or No shares at 44.0%. The market has $371 in liquidity.

Updated Ended

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam? is currently trading at 56.0% on Polymarket, with $11,636 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

56.0%+0.01%24h

View on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.79 return per $1

If No wins

$2.27 return per $1

Surprising result50% surprise

Early traders gave this only 50% odds of resolving Yes, but it did. See more upsets