What are the current odds for "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 68.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $75.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 68.5% or No shares at 31.5%. The market has $2.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Jan 10, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Updated Today

Climate data suggests there's a 73% chance at least one month in 2026 will set a new global temperature record by January 2027. Long-term warming trends and potential El Niño patterns make record-breaking months increasingly common, with real implications for weather extremes and climate policy.

Current Probability

68.5%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.46 return per $1

If No wins

$3.17 return per $1