Updated Today
Peter Mandelson's legal status could shift British politics significantly. Currently assigned only a 5% chance of being charged by March 31, 2026, markets suggest traders view criminal prosecution as unlikely despite ongoing controversies.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$40.00 return per $1
If No wins
$1.03 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
PM·$5.83M volSpurs vs. Clippers
PM·$4.94M volLakers vs. Heat
PM·$4.82M volClippers vs. Pelicans
PM·$4.72M volLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
PM·$4.22M volNetanyahu out by March 31?
PM·$55.65M volWarriors vs. Celtics
PM·$3.52M volMagic vs. Hawks
PM·$3.48M volSuns vs. Timberwolves
PM·$3.38M volICE Shooter Charged by Jan 31
Tim Walz Charged by Mar 31 2026
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
Bill Clinton charged by March 31?
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
Prince Andrew charged by March 31?
