Updated Today
Naim Qassem's continued leadership of Hezbollah faces only a 28% probability of changing by March 31, 2026, according to prediction markets tracking the militant group's internal stability. Regional geopolitics and potential military escalation could accelerate leadership transitions.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$5.56 return per $1
If No wins
$1.22 return per $1
Price Changes
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