What are the current odds for "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $2.27M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.1% or No shares at 100.0%. The market has $147.2K in liquidity.

Polymarketcrypto

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Updated 2 months ago

MegaETH's token is expected to launch with a fully diluted valuation exceeding $4 billion within 24 hours, though markets currently price this at 0% probability by June 30, 2026.

Current Probability

0.1%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2000.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.00 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $4,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."