What are the current odds for "Maduro guilty of all counts?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 10.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $104.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Maduro guilty of all counts?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 10.5% or No shares at 89.5%. The market has $9.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 years (Dec 31, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Maduro guilty of all counts?

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. Currently 10.5% on Polymarket, with $104,620 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

10.5%-0.09%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$9.52 return per $1

If No wins

$1.12 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).

If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.

The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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