What are the current odds for "Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 19.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $8.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 19.5% or No shares at 80.5%. The market has $1.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketeconomics

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?

Updated 3 months ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Currently 19.5% on Polymarket, with $8,395 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

19.5%-0.13%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.13 return per $1

If No wins

$1.24 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Krakens’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Kraken’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Listed on Polymarket Nov 19, 2025 · Resolves Jan 1, 2027