What are the current odds for "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.6% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $845.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.6% or No shares at 99.4%. The market has $94.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (May 14, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,377

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,730,792,477

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$561,247,558

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,243,297,991

Polymarket$2.87BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$354.88MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.03MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,377

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,730,792,477

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$561,247,558

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,243,297,991

Polymarket$2.87BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$354.88MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.03MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketeconomics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?

Updated Today

Federal Reserve leadership changes are rare and typically involve lengthy transition planning rather than sudden departures. With Jerome Powell's term set to continue well into 2026, markets assign just 1% probability to his removal by March 31, reflecting strong political consensus around his tenure despite ongoing inflation debates.

Current Probability

0.6%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$166.67 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1