
Updated Today
Diplomatic normalization between Israel and Indonesia by June 30, 2026 faces steep odds: markets give this just 9% probability. Currently, no formal peace process exists between the two nations, making any breakthrough by mid-2026 a significant long-shot geopolitical shift.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$23.26 return per $1
If No wins
$1.04 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Israel and Indonesia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Indonesia
Israel-Saudi Arabia Normalize by 2027
Outcome: Saudi Arabia
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
Outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
Outcome: During Trump's term
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
Outcome: Before Jan 20, 2029
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Syria
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
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