What are the current odds for "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 4.3% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $204.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 4.3% or No shares at 95.7%. The market has $8.8K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Updated Today

Diplomatic normalization between Israel and Indonesia by June 30, 2026 faces steep odds: markets give this just 9% probability. Currently, no formal peace process exists between the two nations, making any breakthrough by mid-2026 a significant long-shot geopolitical shift.

Current Probability

4.3%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$23.26 return per $1

If No wins

$1.04 return per $1