
Updated Today
Normalizing Israeli-Indonesian relations would represent a historic shift in Middle Eastern geopolitics and regional alignment. Markets currently assign just a 16% probability by year-end 2026, reflecting deep historical tensions and the absence of active diplomatic momentum between the two nations.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$6.45 return per $1
If No wins
$1.18 return per $1
Price Changes
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Will Israel and Indonesia normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Indonesia
Israel-Saudi Arabia Normalize by 2027
Outcome: Saudi Arabia
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
Outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
Outcome: During Trump's term
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 20, 2029?
Outcome: Before Jan 20, 2029
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Syria