What are the current odds for "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 15.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $394.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 15.5% or No shares at 84.5%. The market has $9.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Updated Today

Normalizing Israeli-Indonesian relations would represent a historic shift in Middle Eastern geopolitics and regional alignment. Markets currently assign just a 16% probability by year-end 2026, reflecting deep historical tensions and the absence of active diplomatic momentum between the two nations.

Current Probability

15.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.45 return per $1

If No wins

$1.18 return per $1