What are the current odds for "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 4.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $107.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 4.5% or No shares at 95.5%. The market has $10.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?

Updated Today

Colombian President Gustavo Petro faces persistent political pressure amid economic challenges and congressional opposition. Markets currently give his removal by June 30, 2026 just a 3% chance, reflecting low near-term risk despite ongoing institutional tensions.

Current Probability

4.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$21.98 return per $1

If No wins

$1.05 return per $1