What are the current odds for "Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 0.4% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.01M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 0.4% or No shares at 99.6%. The market has $29.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Today (Mar 18, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,377

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,730,792,477

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$561,247,558

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,243,297,991

Polymarket$2.87BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$354.88MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.03MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,377

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,730,792,477

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$561,247,558

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,243,297,991

Polymarket$2.87BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$354.88MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$23.03MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketeconomics

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

Updated Today

The Federal Reserve has held rates steady through recent inflation data, and markets currently give a rate cut by March 2026 just a 1% chance—suggesting traders expect the Fed to maintain its hawkish stance longer than previously anticipated.

Current Probability

0.4%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$222.22 return per $1

If No wins

$1.00 return per $1