
Updated Today
Markets give the Federal Reserve a 32% probability of cutting rates by June 2026 amid inflation concerns and economic uncertainty. The Fed's June meeting decision would signal whether officials believe price pressures have cooled enough to warrant monetary easing.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$7.69 return per $1
If No wins
$1.15 return per $1
Price Changes
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9AM ET
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 20?
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET
Fed Cut Rates 25bps Apr 2026
Outcome: Cut 25bps