What are the current odds for "Bank of England rate hike in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 35.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $37.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Bank of England rate hike in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 35.5% or No shares at 64.5%. The market has $1.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Updated 4 weeks ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 35.5% on Polymarket, with $37,686 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

35.5%-0.08%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.82 return per $1

If No wins

$1.55 return per $1

↓ Compare across platforms Trending markets →

Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

View full rules