
Updated Today
Cloudflare's infrastructure outages in 2023 disrupted major portions of the internet, raising questions about concentration risk. Markets price a critical incident by March 31, 2026 at 27%, balancing the company's reliability improvements against ongoing systemic vulnerabilities.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$4.80 return per $1
If No wins
$1.26 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Spurs vs. Clippers
Lakers vs. Heat
Clippers vs. Pelicans
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Warriors vs. Celtics
Magic vs. Hawks
Suns vs. Timberwolves
Celtics vs. Grizzlies
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
Critical Discord Incident by June 30, 2026?
Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?