S&P close price end of 2026?
Updated just now
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 9000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Aug 15, 2026
Kalshi implies the 8,000–8,199.99 band at 17%, the tightest outcome, versus the 7,800–7,999.99 band at 12%—a market read that Wall Street has not yet fully priced. JPMorgan, CFRA, UBS, and six other brokerages have all raised targets to 8,000–8,100 recently, citing 25% earnings growth and AI capex-to-revenue momentum, but the prediction market leaves nearly 2/3 of year-end risk below 8,000. The S&P just broke 7,800 for the first time, supported by cooler inflation and strong second-quarter earnings beats.
As of September 9, 2026, the Kalshi odds for S&P close price end of 2026? are: 7,800 to 7,999.99: 18%, 8,000 to 8,199.99: 17%, 7,400 to 7,599.99: 10%, 7,600 to 7,799.99: 9%, 8,200 to 8,399.99: 8%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
S&P close price end of 2026? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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