Polymarket$2.32BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
Kalshi$350.67MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.
Limitless$18.48MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.
Updated Today
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of >25bps on April 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their April 2026 meeting? are: Fed maintains rate: 92%, Cut 25bps: 6%, Hike 25bps: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their April 2026 meeting? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
