Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
Updated 2h ago
If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of September 9, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? are: In 2026: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
