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If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 17, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026? are: In 2026: 20%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.