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As of March 17, 2026, the Polymarket odds for U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31? are: 5–15%: 73%, 15–25%: 20%, 35%+: 4%, 25–35%: 2%, <5%: 1%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31? is currently available on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.