
Next CEO of Apple?
Updated 2 months ago
Winner: John Ternuson Jun 19, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-04-20
John Ternus was named Apple's next CEO, effective September 1, 2026, with Tim Cook transitioning to executive chairman. The appointment, announced April 20 and approved unanimously by the board, confirms what markets had priced at 26% the day before—a clear underdog win that elevated the longtime hardware chief over competitors including Greg Joswiak and Craig Federighi.
Before Next CEO of Apple? ended, the final Polymarket odds were: John Ternus: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.