Jim Schwartzel
Jim Oberweis
Catalina Lauf
Spencer Roach
Bob RommelUpdated 1 month ago
Winner: Jim Schwartzelon Aug 28, 2026
WinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-08-18
Jim Schwartzel, a Southwest Florida media executive, won the Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District on August 18, 2026, defeating nine other candidates including two former members of Congress. The primary victory in the heavily Republican-leaning district positions Schwartzel as the heavy favorite for the general election in November, confirming what markets had priced at 100% the day before.
Before FL-19 Republican Primary Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Jim Schwartzel: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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