Compare Who will be the next James Bond actor? prediction market odds side by side across Polymarket, Kalshi. Platforms currently disagree by an average of 2.8pp, with the largest spread reaching 23.0pp. These price differences can signal arbitrage opportunities or reflect different trader sentiment. With $105.3K in combined trading volume across 27 outcomes, this is one of the notable cross-platform prediction markets.
Callum TurnerCost: 77¢ per pair → pays $1 at resolution. Gross spread 23.0pp before fees.
View all arbs| Outcome | Spread | ||
|---|---|---|---|
![]() No Bond chosen | 53%+0.5 | - | - |
![]() Callum Turner | 29%+7.0 | 52%+3.0 |
| 23.0pp spread |
![]() Josh O'Connor | 2%— | 22%-2.0 | 20.3pp spread |
![]() Jacob Elordi | 4%±0 | 17%+1.0 | 13.2pp spread |
![]() Aaron Taylor-Johnson | 4%— | 7%-3.0 | 3.5pp spread |
I Idris Elba | - | 5%±0 | - |
J Jack Lowden | - | 4%±0 | - |
R Regé-Jean Page | - | 4%+2.0 | - |
J Jonathan Bailey | - | 4%±0 | - |
D Damson Idris | - | 3%+2.0 | - |
C Charlie Hunnam | - | 3%±0 | - |
C Cillian Murphy | - | 3%±0 | - |
A Aaron Pierre | - | 3%±0 | - |
![]() Harris Dickinson | 1%— | 5%±0 | 4.2pp spread |
![]() Theo James | 0%— | 5%±0 | 4.6pp spread |
![]() Robert James-Collier | 3%— | - | - |
![]() Henry Cavill | 3%-5.5 | 2%-3.0 | 0.7pp spread |
R Richard Madden | - | 2%±0 | - |
S Scott Rose-Marsh | - | 2%±0 | - |
![]() Tom Holland | 0%±0 | 3%+2.0 | 2.6pp spread |
![]() Tom Hardy | 0%— | 3%±0 | 2.7pp spread |
![]() James Norton | 0%— | 2%-1.0 | 1.7pp spread |
![]() Jack Lowdon | 0%— | - | - |
![]() Pierce Brosnan | 0%— | - | - |
![]() Paul Mescal | 0%— | - | - |
E Edgar Wright | - | 0%— | - |
E Edward Berger | - | 0%— | - |