| Outcome |  Polymarket |  Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
T Tisza 9%+Winner | 100%settled | - | - |
O Opposition majorityWinner |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Hungary Election Popular Vote Margin of Victory has resolved with Tisza 9%+ and Opposition majority as the winners. $3.81M was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 11 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If the winner of the next Hungarian general election expected to be held in 2026 at the latest is Opposition majority, then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
100%settled |
| - |
G Government coalition majority | - | 0%settled | - |
F Fidesz-KDNP 9%+ | 0%settled | - | - |
F Fidesz-KDNP 6-9% | 0%settled | - | - |
F Fidesz-KDNP 3-6% | 0%settled | - | - |
F Fidesz-KDNP 0-3% | 0%settled | - | - |
T Tisza 6-9% | 0%settled | - | - |
T Tisza 3-6% | 0%settled | - | - |
T Tisza 0-3% | 0%settled | - | - |
 Other | 0%settled | - | - |
