| Outcome |  Kalshi |  Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
4 48-49°FWinner | - | 100%settled | - |
5 56° to 57°Winner |
Background, methodology, and platform context
Highest Temperature in Dallas on March 16, 2026 has resolved with 48-49°F and 56° to 57° as the winners. $310.2K was traded across Polymarket and Kalshi on 15 outcomes. This page preserves the final odds comparison for historical reference.
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If the maximum temperature recorded at Seattle for Mar 16, 2026, is greater than 59° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
100%settled |
| - |
| - |
5 58° to 59° | 0%settled | - | - |
5 54° to 55° | 0%settled | - | - |
5 52° to 53° | 0%settled | - | - |
4 46-47°F | - | 0%settled | - |
4 43°F or below | - | 0%settled | - |
4 44-45°F | - | 0%settled | - |
6 62°F or higher | - | 0%settled | - |
5 50-51°F | - | 0%settled | - |
5 56-57°F | - | 0%settled | - |
6 60-61°F | - | 0%settled | - |
5 52-53°F | - | 0%settled | - |
5 54-55°F | - | 0%settled | - |
5 58-59°F | - | 0%settled | - |
